It is not only very important that we hold above the 1340 recent lows area (since we don’t want to put in a lower low) but we also don’t want to dig too far into old 2011 highs which is also the 1340 level. This old highs level needs to act as a support area for us to build a base above. If this happens we will be able to digest the recent big move higher in a productive way and it will give us a solid foundation to trade against.
We are happy to see a continuation of Wednesdays move into today’s session making this rally attempt more convincing. When a major index like the S&P 500 breaks major support like the 50 day moving average, it is critical that buyers step in and retake that support level within the next 1-4 days. Once a major support level is breached and old support turns into resistance, this spells trouble for the market as a whole and that the uptrend is disintegrating. This time the bulls let it slip below that critical level but retook it on day 2. This is great news but of course it all depends on how we close. So far so good though.

Weekly Chart

Not only did we take back the 50 day moving average level but we were able to also break above the February highs which could have acted like minor resistance.

We would now need to stick the closes here for a couple days and be mindful of the other support that was breached and will always act as some resistance going back up.

In particular the 21 day moving average mark (1399) and the trend line (1403) going back to the October 2011 lows.

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